The Tobruk government headed by Saleh Aquila has again failed to give its confidence to the executive stationed in Tripoli. In the words of Libyan Parliament's president, stance against GNA would be motivated by distrust of the Prime Minister.
According to Saleh, in fact, Sarraj, was not appointed by the Libyan people, so he would have no legitimacy to lead the country. In parallel, a few days ago the news of the raid in the home of Amer Omran, member of the HoR (House Representatives) in Tobruk, and the arrest of his younger brother, Member of Parliament, by Khalifa Haftar forces. According to Omran, the operation would be due to their support of Skhirat negotiations and its links with Ibrahim Jadhran and oil guards. A strong political opposition with Tripoli that, at first glance, could presage a further step away from Tobruk by the international community which recognizes that in GNA the only legitimate government. The reality, however, seems to be more complex.
The system of alliances of Tobruk, in fact, seems to have acquired greater strength after the conquest of the deposits of the oil crescent by the Libyan National Army (Lna) led by Haftar. In early October, in Paris, at the initiative of the French Government, it was held an international conference on the future of Libya which were not invited nor members Jon, nor the representatives of the Maghreb countries and the Arab League. The Paris meeting, which was attended by UN envoy Martin Kobler and representatives of France, Great Britain, Italy, USA, European Union, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates (UAE), Qatar and Turkey, without HoR, was harshly criticized for this as it was considered a clear opening towards the international front in favor of Tobruk.
Despite Brigitte Curmi, French ambassador to Libya, hastenned to deny any ambiguities, reiterating the exclusive legitimacy of GNA, and French support for the process of national unity started in Skhirat, the distance between the international powers and Tripoli has never been so vast. In this context, significant is the visit of Al Sarraj in Algeria in connection with the meeting in Paris and the statements of the ministers of the two countries after a meeting. In stark contrast to Paris, during the joint press conference, Abdel-Qader Mesahel, Algerian Minister for Affairs of Magheb, the African Union, Arab League, and Mohamed Al-Taher Siyalah, Libyan Minister of Foreign Affairs, have, in fact, announced a new conference on the Libyan issue in Niger in late October that would see the involvement of all countries in the area and HoR
Failure final defeat of the Islamic State that despite the huge losses in Sirte, seems to maintain an acceptable level of control of the area and the progressive advancement of Haftar forces, seem to have weakened international support toward GNA. The resumption of oil exports also obliges the international powers to a greater respect towards Tobruk and Haftar. If, as stated in Istanbul by Mustafa Sanalla, NOC chairman, by December, despite the agreement to freeze production of OPEC, Libyan production is expected to reach the highest levels of the last three years. Libyan oil could have in the short term also a significant impact on international diplomacy. In response to the failure to supply crude oil to Egypt from Saudi Arabia because of the favorable vote of Cairo to the Russian resolution of Aleppo, Zyad Daghaim, HoR Parliamentary stated that the Egyptian need could be met by Libyan oil. As reported by the Observer Libya, in fact, the government would have said Tobruk available to give Egypt the crude necessary given the support of Cairo to Cyrenaica and the General Haftar.
Openness to Tobruk and the necessary integration of Haftar in the future Libyan government would also related to the general collapse of the Libyan economy that, according to figures released by the World Bank, could witness a recovery only if they were to come to lasting agreement between Tripoli and Tobruk. In the forecast report of Libyan economy in October, the World Bank, in fact, it would show a scenario in which the rate of inflation continues to rise and the continuous devaluation of the dinar, in connection with damage to infrastructure due to war and rising unemployment, altogether leads to an unstoppable collapse of the gross domestic product of the country. Seeing the recovery of oil exports in the economy with short-term reconstruction and diversification of the asset growth plan solution for the medium to long term, World Bank itself, underlines the absolute necessity of a vote of confidence to GNA. According to the international body, in fact, only this way the economic policies could be implemented in a coordinated and unambiguous throughout the national territory.
According to Saleh, in fact, Sarraj, was not appointed by the Libyan people, so he would have no legitimacy to lead the country. In parallel, a few days ago the news of the raid in the home of Amer Omran, member of the HoR (House Representatives) in Tobruk, and the arrest of his younger brother, Member of Parliament, by Khalifa Haftar forces. According to Omran, the operation would be due to their support of Skhirat negotiations and its links with Ibrahim Jadhran and oil guards. A strong political opposition with Tripoli that, at first glance, could presage a further step away from Tobruk by the international community which recognizes that in GNA the only legitimate government. The reality, however, seems to be more complex.
The system of alliances of Tobruk, in fact, seems to have acquired greater strength after the conquest of the deposits of the oil crescent by the Libyan National Army (Lna) led by Haftar. In early October, in Paris, at the initiative of the French Government, it was held an international conference on the future of Libya which were not invited nor members Jon, nor the representatives of the Maghreb countries and the Arab League. The Paris meeting, which was attended by UN envoy Martin Kobler and representatives of France, Great Britain, Italy, USA, European Union, Egypt, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates (UAE), Qatar and Turkey, without HoR, was harshly criticized for this as it was considered a clear opening towards the international front in favor of Tobruk.
Despite Brigitte Curmi, French ambassador to Libya, hastenned to deny any ambiguities, reiterating the exclusive legitimacy of GNA, and French support for the process of national unity started in Skhirat, the distance between the international powers and Tripoli has never been so vast. In this context, significant is the visit of Al Sarraj in Algeria in connection with the meeting in Paris and the statements of the ministers of the two countries after a meeting. In stark contrast to Paris, during the joint press conference, Abdel-Qader Mesahel, Algerian Minister for Affairs of Magheb, the African Union, Arab League, and Mohamed Al-Taher Siyalah, Libyan Minister of Foreign Affairs, have, in fact, announced a new conference on the Libyan issue in Niger in late October that would see the involvement of all countries in the area and HoR
Failure final defeat of the Islamic State that despite the huge losses in Sirte, seems to maintain an acceptable level of control of the area and the progressive advancement of Haftar forces, seem to have weakened international support toward GNA. The resumption of oil exports also obliges the international powers to a greater respect towards Tobruk and Haftar. If, as stated in Istanbul by Mustafa Sanalla, NOC chairman, by December, despite the agreement to freeze production of OPEC, Libyan production is expected to reach the highest levels of the last three years. Libyan oil could have in the short term also a significant impact on international diplomacy. In response to the failure to supply crude oil to Egypt from Saudi Arabia because of the favorable vote of Cairo to the Russian resolution of Aleppo, Zyad Daghaim, HoR Parliamentary stated that the Egyptian need could be met by Libyan oil. As reported by the Observer Libya, in fact, the government would have said Tobruk available to give Egypt the crude necessary given the support of Cairo to Cyrenaica and the General Haftar.
Openness to Tobruk and the necessary integration of Haftar in the future Libyan government would also related to the general collapse of the Libyan economy that, according to figures released by the World Bank, could witness a recovery only if they were to come to lasting agreement between Tripoli and Tobruk. In the forecast report of Libyan economy in October, the World Bank, in fact, it would show a scenario in which the rate of inflation continues to rise and the continuous devaluation of the dinar, in connection with damage to infrastructure due to war and rising unemployment, altogether leads to an unstoppable collapse of the gross domestic product of the country. Seeing the recovery of oil exports in the economy with short-term reconstruction and diversification of the asset growth plan solution for the medium to long term, World Bank itself, underlines the absolute necessity of a vote of confidence to GNA. According to the international body, in fact, only this way the economic policies could be implemented in a coordinated and unambiguous throughout the national territory.
No comments:
Post a Comment