Sunday, 12 March 2017

MARSHAL KHALIFA HAFTAR 11.3.2017

MKH (Marshal Khalifa Haftar) is now under pressure. He lost control of major oil terminals at Ras Lanuf and Sidra, in favor of Defense Brigades in Benghazi (DBB).
                                   
    MKH immediately mobilized its troops from the Libyan National Army (LNA) and launched them to use these trump cards of the Libyan scene.
    MKH is considered the strong man of eastern Libya, especially after taking over control of the Crescent oil terminals and ensured the resumption of oil exports in September, in addition to alignment of the majority of tribes in the region behind. The woes of the forces of LNA, dislodged the ports of Ras Lanuf and Sidra, therefore weaken MKH field of negotiations, including with foreign powers, with which the MKH says its complete control over eastern Libya. Moreover, the reverse was felt as a national defeat, to the east, where the political reactions of breaking the national dialogue, from the Parliament of Tobruk and his calls to take revenge on the terrorists and mercenaries, according Parliament releases and statements spokesman LNA Ahmed Mismari.
    Complex Equation
situation at the ports of Ras Lanuf and Sidra is complex. General Driss Boukhmada implemented Fayez El Sarraj order to guard oil facilities, said to have regained control of the ports by BDB.
But Gatrani Ali, member of the Presidential Council considers that this appointment is unlawful because the appointing authority is the Parliament. And in fact, the two ports are closed. Tankers headed to the ports of Zouitina and Briga, 200 kilometers further east, towards Benghazi. The National Oil Company (NOC), based in Tripoli, trying to keep his distance from the Eastern and Western authorities to continue to work. Beyond the ports of Ras Lanuf and Sidra, MKH troops dominate the oil fields and the majority of other ports. NOC cannot therefore conflict with them, see them for fear of blocking the production.
    The impact of this crisis is, so far, limited. The average daily exports increased from 715,000 barrels to 650,000 barrels. MKH is facing the risk of Jadhrane troops, the commander of dislodged ports in September, execute their threat to set fire to the large oil tanker port of Sidra and Ras Lanuf. Threat that has already been uttered many times in the past. MKH just took them by surprise in September. A risk worth taking into account when the expected attack of such sites by the troops of the LNA.
    The world is watching
    Apart spokesman of the Egyptian Foreign Ministry, Abu Zid, who accused troops close to Al Qaeda to take part in the attack against the Libyan  Crescent oil ports, the rest of the international community that criticism rising tensions around oil ports and calls for the resumption of dialogue between the Libyan belligerents. Only the Italian ambassador in Tripoli said that control of oil ports by forces under the Presidential Council is a step in the right direction.
    The Libyan political analyst Ezzedine Aguil explains the caution of other powers in that they know that "the balance of power on the ground is favorable to the LNA MKH, comparing his troops with those of the Brigades of Benghazi." Aguil draws attention to the fact that "Charkassi and brigades are supported by the Ministry of Defence of Tripoli." So he thinks that there is "a risk of global confrontation in Libya" To support his argument, the political scientist emphasized that "MKH protected the city of Ajdabya before announcing the counter-attack against the ports of Ras Lanuf and Sidra." Yet he points out, BDB does not have the potential to reach this key city in eastern Libya.

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