On Friday, April 10, 2015, the news that the Libyan General Khalifa Haftar,
commander in chief of the armed forces of the government of Tobruk, was
injured in a bomb attack occurred at dawn on Wednesday, April 8th.
The nature of the lesions, as well as the circumstances of the attack, remains unknown. However, some sources indicate that the culprits could be within this armed forces. One of the names is that of Colonel Faraj Barasi, which would have "serious differences" about the methods of General Haftar.
The news is troubling, since Haftar is not only against the jihadist chaos, but he also represents the government supported by the international community and the Egyptian military. Scene of his death would cause further confusion and uncertainty about the political future and attempt to form a national unity government, in a moment in Libya are the anti-system powers are merging.
It is always today, in fact, the news that Ansar al-Sharia, the main and strongest jihadist group that controls Benghazi would have sworn allegiance to the Islamic State. Its spiritual leader and military, Abu Abdullah al-Libi, reportedly broadcast an audio message last Sunday, where he theorizes the legal validity to swear allegiance ISIS.
All this happens while Italy, Egypt and Algeria on the same day of the attack to Haftar, agreed to "share information" and "intensify joint efforts" to combat the growth of terrorist forces in Libya and support the proposal of UN about the creation of a national unity government. The decision was made during a trilateral in Rome between the Italian Foreign Minister, Paolo Gentiloni, his Egyptian counterpart, Sameh Shoukri, and the Algerian Minister for African Affairs of the Maghreb, Abdelkader Messahel.
Gentiloni met separately the President of HoR Ageela Gwaider Saleh, who had been invited to Rome by the President of the Italian Chamber of Deputies, Laura Boldrini. Ageela Saleh Gwaider, for the record, represents parliament and government of Tobruk, which is the only institutions currently titled to talk for Libya and is recognized by the international community. This, despite the capital Tripoli is in the hands of the coalition "Dawn Libya", formed by Islamist factions which do not recognize neither the parliament nor Tobruk with its government that resides in Beida.
The Egyptian support in Tobruk
Rome is inclined to work hypothesis policy, even if we do not know how it will manage if clashes between militias will not stop.
According to Gwaider a national unity government that includes all Libyan forces who have rejected terrorism " already exists "and Rome it must rest. Cairo, argued the minister, will not change position and is committed to supporting the House of Representatives (HoR) of Tobruk, until she herself does not appoint a new government of national unity that Egypt will accept without fuss provided "represents all souls of the Libyan people. "
For the Algerian Minister Messahel, however, the urgent need to pacify Libya is combined with the imminent danger that the security of Algeria is threatened by the most extreme of Islamic jihadism. The trilateral in Rome had resulted in the decision to meet again in Cairo at a later date.
The political situation in Libya After the March 31 well 70 MPs of the General National Congress (CNG) and 14 ministers of the Islamist government of Tripoli have voted for the dismissal of Omar Al Hassi from the role of prime minister, the political situation in Tripoli is overheated. Al Hassi is Dawn Libyan Islamists, then opponents of Tobruk. The official justification of the vote of no confidence against him is unconvincing on the choices made by Al Hassi in recent months to heal the economic situation of Libya.
Rejection of Al Hassi to recognize the decision of CNG parliament, which claimed to have on his side, "the support of revolutionary fighters," the institutions that he is even still have entrusted the power in the hands of Deputy Prime Minister and Minister for Defense, Khalifa Ghwell, with an official statement in which Dawn Libya Islamist coalition approved the rotation.
The dismissal of Al Hassi was an attempt to moderate some sections of Tripoli government to approach the Government of Tobruk through international mediation, groped for a road map that will lead Libya to a national unity government. Al Hassi, in this, it would have been an obstacle since aligned with fringes more conservative and less prone to political compromise.
However, even Khalifa Ghwell is a radical Islamist like its predecessor. Although in his inaugural speech he stressed that his government will continue to engage in dialogue "by rejecting violence and extremism", in an interview in February had defined the activity of Ansar Al Sharia "acceptable", as this organization is fighting against the jihadist General Khalifa Haftar, the number one enemy of the Islamists from Tripoli.
The ENI and the economic issue Despite the pale reconciliation efforts, Tobruk Government is not doing well and indeed experiencing a serious liquidity crisis. For this reason, writes Il Foglio, "the president of the elected Parliament confirmed two days ago that he had passed an order to open an account within the next two weeks in Gulf bank (probably in UAE) where to pay revenues from oil production . " According to Tobruk, in fact, the Libyan Central Bank based in Tripoli, given its formal neutrality in the conflict, is under pressure and potentially suggestible Dawn Libyan Islamists who rule in the town.
In this chaos, according to Wall Street Journal, Italy remains the only country to maintain stable economic relations in Libya, despite having closed the embassy.
ENI is today the only oil company that still manages to extract oil and gas from the country, while the main competitors - France's Total, Spain's Repsol and the American Marathon Oil - are unable to do their jobs. Note that most of the oilfields where there is ENI are in the west of Libya and on offshore platforms. All areas under the control of the Islamist government of Tripoli, where Tobruk - which Italy says it wants to support politically - can do nothing.
Oil production of ENI in 2015 was not affected by particular shocks, is almost at its maximum potential (almost 300 thousand barrels extracted every day) and oil facilities and personnel so far have been able to work safely. Situation seems to be close to agreements with local militias and a well-woven political and diplomatic plot and that could form the basis for securing Italy to work calmly in the future.
The Italian choice So, definitely siding with the government of Tobruk could prove, on paper, counterproductive. At present, however, the Foreign Ministry and the Prime Minister Matteo Renzi seem to have staked everything on 'Egypt Al Sisi, the only real barrier against the proliferation of Islamic extremism in North Africa as well as major sponsor of Tobruk. However, we know all too well that a deployment can not be definitive until Libya weapons do not fall silent (the attack on the General Haftar teaches).
Which means that our government adopts in Libya Policy "two ovens" already proved successful in domestic politics. A choice that is also the figure of the same political Matteo Renzi. But foreign policy, it should be remembered, is another story. And sometimes to make history variables are crazy.
The nature of the lesions, as well as the circumstances of the attack, remains unknown. However, some sources indicate that the culprits could be within this armed forces. One of the names is that of Colonel Faraj Barasi, which would have "serious differences" about the methods of General Haftar.
The news is troubling, since Haftar is not only against the jihadist chaos, but he also represents the government supported by the international community and the Egyptian military. Scene of his death would cause further confusion and uncertainty about the political future and attempt to form a national unity government, in a moment in Libya are the anti-system powers are merging.
It is always today, in fact, the news that Ansar al-Sharia, the main and strongest jihadist group that controls Benghazi would have sworn allegiance to the Islamic State. Its spiritual leader and military, Abu Abdullah al-Libi, reportedly broadcast an audio message last Sunday, where he theorizes the legal validity to swear allegiance ISIS.
All this happens while Italy, Egypt and Algeria on the same day of the attack to Haftar, agreed to "share information" and "intensify joint efforts" to combat the growth of terrorist forces in Libya and support the proposal of UN about the creation of a national unity government. The decision was made during a trilateral in Rome between the Italian Foreign Minister, Paolo Gentiloni, his Egyptian counterpart, Sameh Shoukri, and the Algerian Minister for African Affairs of the Maghreb, Abdelkader Messahel.
Gentiloni met separately the President of HoR Ageela Gwaider Saleh, who had been invited to Rome by the President of the Italian Chamber of Deputies, Laura Boldrini. Ageela Saleh Gwaider, for the record, represents parliament and government of Tobruk, which is the only institutions currently titled to talk for Libya and is recognized by the international community. This, despite the capital Tripoli is in the hands of the coalition "Dawn Libya", formed by Islamist factions which do not recognize neither the parliament nor Tobruk with its government that resides in Beida.
The Egyptian support in Tobruk
Rome is inclined to work hypothesis policy, even if we do not know how it will manage if clashes between militias will not stop.
According to Gwaider a national unity government that includes all Libyan forces who have rejected terrorism " already exists "and Rome it must rest. Cairo, argued the minister, will not change position and is committed to supporting the House of Representatives (HoR) of Tobruk, until she herself does not appoint a new government of national unity that Egypt will accept without fuss provided "represents all souls of the Libyan people. "
For the Algerian Minister Messahel, however, the urgent need to pacify Libya is combined with the imminent danger that the security of Algeria is threatened by the most extreme of Islamic jihadism. The trilateral in Rome had resulted in the decision to meet again in Cairo at a later date.
The political situation in Libya After the March 31 well 70 MPs of the General National Congress (CNG) and 14 ministers of the Islamist government of Tripoli have voted for the dismissal of Omar Al Hassi from the role of prime minister, the political situation in Tripoli is overheated. Al Hassi is Dawn Libyan Islamists, then opponents of Tobruk. The official justification of the vote of no confidence against him is unconvincing on the choices made by Al Hassi in recent months to heal the economic situation of Libya.
Rejection of Al Hassi to recognize the decision of CNG parliament, which claimed to have on his side, "the support of revolutionary fighters," the institutions that he is even still have entrusted the power in the hands of Deputy Prime Minister and Minister for Defense, Khalifa Ghwell, with an official statement in which Dawn Libya Islamist coalition approved the rotation.
The dismissal of Al Hassi was an attempt to moderate some sections of Tripoli government to approach the Government of Tobruk through international mediation, groped for a road map that will lead Libya to a national unity government. Al Hassi, in this, it would have been an obstacle since aligned with fringes more conservative and less prone to political compromise.
However, even Khalifa Ghwell is a radical Islamist like its predecessor. Although in his inaugural speech he stressed that his government will continue to engage in dialogue "by rejecting violence and extremism", in an interview in February had defined the activity of Ansar Al Sharia "acceptable", as this organization is fighting against the jihadist General Khalifa Haftar, the number one enemy of the Islamists from Tripoli.
The ENI and the economic issue Despite the pale reconciliation efforts, Tobruk Government is not doing well and indeed experiencing a serious liquidity crisis. For this reason, writes Il Foglio, "the president of the elected Parliament confirmed two days ago that he had passed an order to open an account within the next two weeks in Gulf bank (probably in UAE) where to pay revenues from oil production . " According to Tobruk, in fact, the Libyan Central Bank based in Tripoli, given its formal neutrality in the conflict, is under pressure and potentially suggestible Dawn Libyan Islamists who rule in the town.
In this chaos, according to Wall Street Journal, Italy remains the only country to maintain stable economic relations in Libya, despite having closed the embassy.
ENI is today the only oil company that still manages to extract oil and gas from the country, while the main competitors - France's Total, Spain's Repsol and the American Marathon Oil - are unable to do their jobs. Note that most of the oilfields where there is ENI are in the west of Libya and on offshore platforms. All areas under the control of the Islamist government of Tripoli, where Tobruk - which Italy says it wants to support politically - can do nothing.
Oil production of ENI in 2015 was not affected by particular shocks, is almost at its maximum potential (almost 300 thousand barrels extracted every day) and oil facilities and personnel so far have been able to work safely. Situation seems to be close to agreements with local militias and a well-woven political and diplomatic plot and that could form the basis for securing Italy to work calmly in the future.
The Italian choice So, definitely siding with the government of Tobruk could prove, on paper, counterproductive. At present, however, the Foreign Ministry and the Prime Minister Matteo Renzi seem to have staked everything on 'Egypt Al Sisi, the only real barrier against the proliferation of Islamic extremism in North Africa as well as major sponsor of Tobruk. However, we know all too well that a deployment can not be definitive until Libya weapons do not fall silent (the attack on the General Haftar teaches).
Which means that our government adopts in Libya Policy "two ovens" already proved successful in domestic politics. A choice that is also the figure of the same political Matteo Renzi. But foreign policy, it should be remembered, is another story. And sometimes to make history variables are crazy.
Bilateral relations with Tripoli and why Rome, endorsing the war that deposed Gaddafi, has committed suicide geostrategy.
END
No comments:
Post a Comment