Sunday 12 July 2015

ITALIAN PRESS OPINION ABT LIBYA UPDATED 12.7.2015

DAESH (ISIS) has claimed responsibility for the attack yesterday morning at the Italian Consulate in Cairo. A Twitter account near the caliphate has announced that "thanks to the blessing of Allah, soldiers of the Islamic state did explode 450 kg of explosives placed inside a car parked in front of  Italian Consulate in Cairo."attack took place yesterday morning at 6:30 am and caused one dead and nine wounded. For Gian Micalessin, war correspondent of Il Giornale, "the goal was Isis clearly hit Italy for its role it is playing in Libya, where the jihadists of Al-Baghdadi are booming. At the same time, the attack took place in Egypt since President al-Sisi is our main ally in the Middle East. " No coincidence that Friday the Libyan government of Tobruk, along with the militias of Misrata and Zintan, had given their yes to the UN plan to prevent the country were to get back ISIS. Yesterday morning, however, it was assumed that the real target of the attack was not the Italian consulate, but judge Ahmed al Fuddaly, considered close to President Al-Sisi.
DAESH (Isis) has claimed responsibility. In your opinion what was intended?

It 'clearly an attack against Italy. The scenario in which it occurred is Egypt, but it is really about our role in Libya. Our country is allied with Cairo, as confirmed by the recent meetings between Renzi and Al-Sisi. The two presidents are working side by side with regard to the contrast to the Islamic state in Libya, and especially to hit the smugglers operating from bases also Egyptian.

Then Libya and Egypt are a unique battlefield?

In a way, yes. Not by chance in ABC tactical and strategic operations that were a corollary to the European level, there was talk of operations that could be chalked up both in Libya and in Egypt, both in Tunisia itself. Do not forget that Al-Sisi is the main ally of the government of Tobruk and the main enemy of the Islamist coalition supported from outside by Qatar and Turkey. A coalition that reigns in Tripoli, Zuara, Misrata and in all coastal areas from which the boats of immigrants.

Why Isis should hit Italy, where Renzi govt has not done anything to Libya?
Renzi throughout the first phase, until last October, has completely forgotten Libya. With the expansion of Isis in the country's interest, however, it is increased. Tunisia has returned to the same interest to Italian politics, because from there comes a direct threat.

What is strategic role of Italy in Libya?

Italy is at head of  international mission in Libya. The fact that legitimate government of Tobruk Friday has said yes to UN document means that Egypt has taken a stand in favor of the fact that Italy is at head of the mission. Since Tobruk office on legitimate government recognized by international community, this opens the way for a resolution of UNO Security Council that might just start the mission.

For minister Gentiloni, "Italy will not be intimidated." What do you think that should be our reaction?

For months Italy openly receives threats from caliphate, and then bury your head in the sand is harmful. And 'better become aware of the danger and be ready to act and to stop the advance of a caliphate which is only 400 kilometers from our shores. Through Libya, Al-Baghdadi threatens the stability of Tunisia and Egypt. But especially if we do not stop the instability of Libya we will never put an end to migration flows that arrive in our country.

USA seems completely disinterested in these scenarios. What can we do alone?

If we do nothing we will remain submerged. We must clear occuparcene, because the border between us and the caliphate is separated by a strait. We are the first European country whose borders touch those of a country directly affected by the presence of the caliphate. Without forgetting that Libya is our former colony and the "treasure chest" of our strategic interests.

Isis is able to turn Libya into another Iraq?

Yes. Today Isis controls Derna in Libya, where it also is engaged in fierce fighting with other jihadist factions. It dominates also Sirte and its surrounding territories and defeated  militias of Misrata who were trying to block its advance westwards. Militias of Misrata, which in February had surrounded Sirte, a few months later were routed because the Islamist coalition of Tripoli had not provided sufficient support in terms of weapons. The caliphate in Libya is therefore booming. Its strategy is to grow by aggregation, incorporating smaller groups and less strong. And 'therefore the real emerging force of Libya, and if we wait to face him again witness to the same scenarios of Iraq and Syria.

Meanwhile, Isis is getting stronger also in Sinai, Egypt to the east. How do you explain this evolution?
After coup 3 July 2013, Egypt has begun a policy of heavy repression of Muslim Brotherhood with thousands of arrests and dozens of death sentences. This has led to progressive marginalization of large sections of groups linked to Muslim Brotherhood. Many have fled to Sinai, where there was already an Islamist component which operated since 2005. Initially it was a very tied to terrorism Bedouins who felt marginalized by big business. When their bodies were welded to those of Muslim Brotherhood, one of the main groups he declared loyalty to Islamic state, and therefore today Sinai waves flag of  Caliphate.

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