Sunday 23 August 2015

THE GLORY and LIBYA


There is no glory in a fight against public bureaucracies. There is no glory to do stabbing with same same party "companions" and there is no glory inveigh against trade union. The glory is won over the border and it is always located in foreign policy and defense as its natural and right environment.
 
If he wants the glory, Matteo Renzi must look for it wearing Italian army camouflage in Libya .
 
Libya stabilization would create the conditions to govern, or at least stem the migratory phenomenon as the cause of social alarm which -certainl-y will become the central theme of the upcoming elections. It would halt the advance of the Isis, preventing contagion to neighboring countries. It would take control (indirectly, of course) of a territory which bind us considerable interest and a century-old historical ties.
It would finally be able to drop a 'heavy' paper on the table in Brussels. And it is reasonable to imagine that Italy is put in charge of a multinational military force that casts the land of our former colony? It would seem so, but no.
It would seem so because similar assumptions are made also through press filter. And when the head of state, the wise Sergio Mattarella (Italy President), mentioned the risk of a "third world war", it seems to allude to blame the initial inertia of European military face of the spread of Hitler's Third Reich.
Instead, it is a game of mirrors.
The failed attempt, threatening them, to bend the Libyan factions to let them bite the bullet of a unity government. At present, the situation is as follows:
The choice of both Italy and UN, to identify only Tobruk government as their legitimate interlocutor proved wrong.
This blog wrote it for some time in May/June as well as New York Times: "And if we were negotiating with wrong Libyans?" Headlined a front-page editorial.
Diplomacy and intelligence are therefore working to ensure that the government of Tripoli, which controls the territory from which the barges laden with immigrants and where ENI activity is rooted, become a legitimate interlocutor on a par with that of Tobruk. 
But Tobruk invokes a national unity government led by Tobruk.
Tripoli, however, wants a federal solution.
Hence the stalemate.
So the international community is showing off muscles. But USA with Italy, with France and UK, none of them is going really to use them. Afraid of getting bogged down as in Iraq.
In Tripoli they have understood the game. In a recent interview in which Italian foreign minister did not rule out the possibility of using force in Libya, a government official from Tripoli said: "But does Gentiloni really believe that we are idiots? We know very well that you will not run the risk so never military action. " The glory often comes by risks. Not wanting to have risks, we can only hope for intelligence miracle.

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