ISLAMIC STATE LESSONS TO ITALY AND WEST

The Islamic state war continues to be a long series of lessons not learned or deliberately ignored by the West.

After pretending to fight jihadists in Syria and Iraq for almost a year and half, the Coalition has achieved two results, both negative: 1. Caliphate strengthened and now has followers everywhere in Europe and 2. Moscow has had the opportunity to intervene in Syria acting as a reference power in the region.

In Libya, Italians are committing the same mistakes.

Pending an agreement between the various factions brokered by UN, we have tolerated for years that the Islamic State homesteading in Sirte gradually expanding area under its control by collecting local volunteers and militia African jihadist.

Now that reports signaling the arrival of two or three thousand African veterans of wars in Syria and Iraq, there are questions about what to do, probably because the influx of reinforcements leads to 7 thousand jihadist army men consistency.

It sufficient force to attack the oil fields in Gulf of Sirte between Ajdabiya and Brega. Numerous local sources, quoted by news site Alwasat, have in fact reported that the terrorists are "carrying heavy weapons and armored vehicles to the East," adding that "elements of the training patrol armed highways, are accompanied by Islamic police"

Resource control of country's energy is strategic for Caliphate because, just like in Iraq and Syria, it can subsidize its jihad and the Khalifat management established in Syria.

Meantime, Europe and the West continue to support the agreement among factions promoted by UN is now failed, as all understood except perhaps both the Italian Foreign Minister, Paolo Gentiloni and the new UN envoy.

German Martin Kobler in the coming days will present a roadmap to accelerate the political process and the signing of  'agreement’ provided for the formation of a national unity government.

Kobler said he was ready to accept that the agreement not signed by all without being aware that perhaps without general consensus of the various factions the Libyan agreement will not be worth anything.

Moreover, the Islamist government (backed by Turkey and Qatar) in Tripoli does not want to sign it because it is considered not impartial and it has good reason considered that Bernardino Leon, mediated unabashedly in favor of Tobruk government and he was publicly rewarded by UAE with an assignment in Abu Dhabi paid 600,000 euros per year. Then so much mud that little remains of UN prestige.

It is no coincidence that, slapping UNO, Tobruk and Tripoli (or at least part of their parliaments) governments seem to be willing to agree with draft other than UN one.

If Europe is sleeping, unable to realize a military response ISIS and fearful of suffering new attacks, Italy turns his head away almost not concerned with consolidation of Islamic State just 400 km from our shores.

An intervention in Libya "it is not on agenda as well as Italy will not plan military intervention in Syria without a political-diplomatic overall strategy," said Tuesday PM Matteo Renzi. The strategies are to be developed, however, and the time certainly was not short but Italy was short of necessary courage to launch a military operation now against Islamic State in Sirte whose presence is seen as a threat by both Islamist Tripoli and secular Tobruk governments. That would have paved the way for a peace agreement much more than Leon cunning and tricky actions as based on the need to wage war against common enemy.

Present situation has deteriorated and it will require much greater efforts to crush the jihadists in Libya especially if they succeed to complete alliance among Islamic State, Shura Council of the revolutionary movement and Al-Qaeda, Ansar al-Sharia active in Cyrenaica.

From the battlefields it is reported that Tobruk army forces against people supporting Jihad, lost only yesterday 30 soldiers in Benghazi including the Operation Dignity Commander Colonel Ali Al Thamen whom launched last year Operation Dignity against the jihadist forces.

Trust in Italy and Europe is so low that Libya's legitimate government (Tobruk), Abdullah al-Thani, has called for a military intervention of Russia against the Islamic State ensuring that his government is "ready to coordinate the steps at the highest level" as reported by the Russian news agency Sputnik.

The vacuum power left by both a reluctant America dedicated to destabilization and a Europe in disarray likely to be filled by Russians, now recognized as the only ones to do what needs to be done against the jihadists and invited by both Syrian and Libyan governments to help them to fight the terrorists.

To balance the role of Moscow in support of Tripoli government, is increasingly important the presence of Turkey and Qatar, this latter also very active in Saharan region since past years when money and weapons were flowing from Emirates.

They supported al-Qaeda which seized control of northern Mali. The latest confirmation of how well Qatar (whose troops in 2011 mingled the rebels to take Tripoli) reached a level of influence in Libya far greater than Italy or other European countries is demonstrated by the peace agreement signed (not only announced as in UN blog) between Tebu and Tuareg.

Tuareg factions which fought fiercely in southern Libya against Tebu (originally from Chad) had sided with Tobruk government widening the 'operational area of their four brigades to Tuareg territory and some oil fields (al-Fil has a production capacity of 200.000 barrels per day) in desert region of Fezzan, also crossed by arms traffickers and illegal immigrants Africans.

Beyond the troubled ethnic Libyans, important aspect is that the conflict between Tebu and Tuareg developed since Muammar Gaddafi death in October 2011, in an area that would be of significant strategic interest for Europe and Italy but leave that mediate this crisis is Qatar which earned a significant return of international image by organizing the signing of the agreement between Libyan factions in Doha.

At this rate, the hegemonic powers in Mediterranean will become soon Russia, Turkey and Arabic Gulf monarchies, which have obviously put "on the agenda" their interventions in Libyan crisis .

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